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ECB rate hikes might knock 3.8 pct off euro area economy: analysis
研究顯示歐洲央行加息或使歐元區經濟下滑3.8%
Aggressive rate hikes by the European Central Bank (ECB) can inflict an adverse impact on the economy of the euro area, and will trim 3.8 percent off from its economic output in 2024, a Bloomberg analysis published on Monday said.
彭博社7日發布的一項研究顯示，歐洲央行(ECB)激進的加息可能會對歐元區經濟造成不利影響，并將在2024年使其經濟下降3.8%。
The analysis said that the combination of high interest rates and limited government capacity to stimulate development poses a potential constraint on the economic growth of the euro area.
分析稱，高利率加上政府刺激發展的能力有限，對歐元區經濟增長構成了潛在的制約。
Given that governments in the euro area have or will opt out of the supportive measures which were put into place in the face of the surging energy prices over a year ago, the euro area economy can contract up to 5 percent in 2024, the analysis noted.
分析指出，鑒于歐元區各國政府已經或將選擇退出一年前為應對能源價格飆升而實施的支持措施，歐元區經濟在2024年萎縮幅度可能高達5%。
The ECB has lifted key interest rates by a total of 425 basis points since last July in a bid to bring down inflation, which is hovering well above its target of 2 percent.
自2022年7月以來，歐洲央行已將基準利率總計上調425個基點，以壓低目前遠高于2%目標的高通脹率。
The central bank has refrained from pre-announcing another hike for its next rate-setting meeting, insisting that interest rates will remain its primary tool in the fight against inflation.
歐洲央行沒有在下次利率制定會議前宣布再次加息，但堅稱加息仍將是其抗擊通脹的主要工具。
The ECB considered the euro area economy to be weak in the short run but said it would pick up momentum in the long run. The central bank will publish its latest edition of projections for inflation as well as economic growth in the euro area in September.
歐洲央行認為歐元區經濟增長短期內疲弱，但從長期來看，歐元區經濟將恢復增長勢頭。歐洲央行將于9月份發布對歐元區通脹和經濟增長的最新預測。
來源：新華社
編輯：董靜、李一凡（實習）
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